There is a reason why Warren Buffet said to be “fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” The reason is simple, so-called financial experts do not necessarily know what they are talking about most of the time. In effect, it has been shown that a monkey can pick stocks better than a financial expert. Yes, a monkey is a better stock picker than an institution paid a percentage of your portfolio. If financial experts were foolproof, they would beat the market every year, but this is simply not the case. This is also the reason why index funds are the safest bet to have consistent growth over time. So-called financial experts of the stock market are typically no better than you and I at gaging what will happen next.
Stop & Think
In life, whenever a large group is running to the left, stop and ask why. Do your due diligence and investigate whether or not these individuals are going that way in view of reason or an irrational drive to follow the heard. In most circumstances, the answer is herd mentality. Someone with name recognition will make a statement, others will be too lazy to do their due diligence and instead parrot the earlier person’s statement. This then occurs over and over again and soon you have a group of individuals moving in the same direction without a concrete reason to do so. This is particularly problematic when the individuals that are irrationally moving are also in positions of power. You end up with irrational acts leading to longterm detrimental effects.
Economic Movements
Just think back. How many financial experts called the great recession? How many financial experts predicted the sustained bull market following covid lock downs? The answer is not too many individuals. If you go back and take a look, most so-called experts where shouting from the roof tops about a sustained bull market back in 2007. When covid-19 hit, many financial experts were calling for a massive recession as a result of the lock downs. In both cases, the opposite actually occurred.
If experts are calling for a specific economic activity to occur, the more fervor they have, the more likely it seems that the event will not occur. When the majority is looking for a recession, there may be a dip, but just wait for the bull market. When the majority is calling for a bull market, it is only a matter of time before the market falls. The point is, it is your money that you are playing with, do your own due diligence. Make informed money decisions by doing your own investigation into the matters at hand.
Do not be a lemming. Do not turn over your life savings to an expert and sit back in the hopes that they will do what is right for you. It is your money. No matter who you choose to manage your money, you should also play an active roll in the actions taken with your money and how it is allocated. If you do not take an active roll in your financial security, do no be surprise to find that your money is not being managed in the way that you would want or like.
Financial Experts
This is not to say that experts should be ignored. If qualified, they are experts for a reason. They have the requisite knowledge and qualifications. This is to say that while experts may know more than you do about a subject, you should still take an active role in your money management. Trust but verify. In the end, it is your money.
Conclusion
Warren Buffet said to be “fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” The reason for this statement is simple, do not follow the herd. A blindfolded monkey beats humans with stock picks. As such, keep in mind that some financial experts do not necessarily know what they are talking about most of the time. Be an active participant in the management of your money. Trust but verify. Educate yourself and do your due diligence. Do not be a lemming when it comes to how your money is managed. Actively participate in the management of your money and your journey to financial independence.
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