Have you seen CD rates lately

Have You Seen CD Rates Lately?

Have you seen certificate of deposit (CD) rates lately? I will give you a hint, they are high and expected to get a bit higher in 2023 in view of predicted rate increases by the federal reserve. As of the start of the new year, you can get 12 month to 24 month CDs in the 4-5 percent range. If you look hard enough, I am confident that you can find rates in the 5-6 percent range as well. This is in stark contrast to only a year earlier, when rates hovered around 1 percent. On your financial journey, it is important to assess whether or not CDs should be apart of your holdings.

The Stock Market

In 2022, the stock market did not do so well. All the indexes were in the toilet. The Nasdaq was down 31.1 percent. S&P 500 was down 19.4 percent. The Dow Jones was down the least but was down 8.8 percent. The massacre is expected to continue into 2023. This will provide an epic buying opportunity in 2023-2024, but we will discuss this buying opportunity in another post. While the stock market was going down in 2022, do you know what was not down? Savings and CD rates. Both started 2022 ridiculously low. However, as the federal reserve began to fight inflation by increasing interest rates, both savings and CD rates became more favorable.

CDs

A CD is essentially a savings product that earns interest on a lump sum for a period of time. The time period ranges from three months to about five years. Unlike a savings account, with a CD, the money must remain untouched for the entirety of the term or risk penalty fees or lost interest. Because of this lost of liquidity, CDs usually have higher interest rates as compared to savings accounts.  As compared to stocks and bonds, CDs are safer and more conservative and offers lower opportunity for growth. However, unlike stocks and bonds, CDs, if allowed to run the term, have a  guaranteed rate of return.

CD Rates In 2023

At the start of 2023, CDs are paying 4-5 percent for eighteen month to twenty-four month term. For example, Marcus’ 12 month CD pays 4.3 percent and the 18 month CD pays 4.4 percent. Ally CD rates are 4.25 percent for 18 month, 3 years and the 5 year term. Synchrony on the other hand is offering a 4.6 percent rate for their 14 month term CDs.

Diversify

In life, it is usually best to diversify. By now, you are likely aware that it is likely best to diversify your income streams. You also may know that it is probably best to diversify your investment portfolio. While saving accounts are not necessarily the growth vehicle of the stock market, you should consider diversifying your money beyond investing in the stock market and having a savings account. In view of the current CD rates, investigate if CDs would be beneficial to your bottomline. If a CD is, open one. As the market tanks, instead of losing money, CDs may provide a reprieve. Instead of losing 20 percent in the stock market, gain 4-5 percent in a CD.

Conclusion

CD rates are high and expected to get a bit higher in 2023. These increases are in view of predicted rate increases by the federal reserve. As of the start of the new year, you can get 12 month to 24 month CDs in the 4-5 percent range. If you look hard enough, I am confident that you can find rates in the 5-6 percent range as well. This is in stark contrast to only a year earlier, when rates hovered around 1 percent. On your financial journey, it is important to assess whether or not CDs should be apart of your holdings.

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Inflation

What Is Inflation And Should You Care

Inflation is the overall general upward price movement of goods and services in an economy. Put it simply, when asked what is inflation, it is a general increase in prices. Why is this important, this is important because as prices rise, your purchasing power decreases. Unless you have obtained a pay increase that matches or exceeds inflation, your purchasing power is being eroded.

What Is Inflation

A simple example of inflation is the price of an item at your birth versus current prices. I can remember when a can of soda from a soda dispensing machine was only 25 cents. Today, the same soda would cost at least about $1.50. My friends, that is inflation. This also shows how much your purchasing power have decreased. 25 cents cannot purchase what it use to. As prices rise, you are able to purchase fewer goods and services with the same amount of money.

Inflation increases in prices

Why Is Inflation Important

As inflation rises, purchasing power decreases, costs of living increases, and economic growth may decrease. If prices increase and consumers cannot purchase goods and services, guess what happens next? Without a pay increase, consumers will not be able to purchase goods and services at the same rate that they did in the past. If consumers do not purchase goods and services, companies providing these goods and services will not be profitable and may begin to go into debt. Companies that do not make profits, will over time reduce staff and may eventually go out of business. As such, unemployment rises and further exacerbates economic hardships because without a job, consumers will purchase less and the cycle continues. 

What Is Inflation And Why Does It Occur

Many believe that inflation results when the money supply growth outpaces economic growth. What this means essentially is as money becomes more available prices increase. It becomes a matter of products are sold at the prices that the market is willing to pay. With increase money supply, some in the marketplace will be able to pay the increased prices, but not all. 

With income inequality, there will be a class of folks that will be able to absorb increases in prices. But when inflation rises dramatically, the effects of inflation will be more apparent. Most in the middle and the lower class will not obtain pay raises that will allow them to continue living the lives that they once did. If anything, once this cycle begins, the middle and lower class will likely be most affected. Meaning, when businesses begin to layoff workers or go out of business, the middle and the lower class will be most affected.

Winners And Losers

As asset prices increase during an inflationary period, those who own assets will likely benefit. For example, those who own precious metals, real estate, and stocks. In fact, some borrowers benefit as well if they have locked in a low interest rate. For borrowers, their asset price increases but their rates are locked in. The losers are often those on a fixed income, as they will unable to afford increase prices. But in an inflationary environment, things can change very fast as uncertainty increases.

What Is The Fix

To slow down inflation, governments typically try to reduce the money supply. This can be done in a number of ways, but one method is typically used. Increasing interest rates. As interest rates increase, it costs more to borrow money, it costs more to do business and as such, less money is in the marketplace. Of course, these policies must be balanced. 

As money in the marketplace is reduced, credit may tighten, businesses may not be able to borrow money and in fact may not be able to make pay roll or invest in growth. This may lead to a recession leading to layoffs and business closures. To put it simply, monetary policy is complex. Knowledge is power.

Conclusion

Inflation is the overall general upward price movement of goods and services in an economy. Put it simply, when asked what is inflation, it is a general increase in prices. Why is this important, this is important because as prices rise, your purchasing power decreases. Unless you have obtained a pay increase that matches or exceeds inflation, your purchasing power is being eroded.

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